HOW IT WORKS
From EBITDA to Fully Adjusted EBITDA — in five steps
Our platform quantifies the rising costs of greenhouse gas emissions as well as physical climate risks — across your business and supply chain. Water and land use costs are under development. Then it shows you exactly how each number is derived. No black boxes. No opaque scores. Just transparent, auditable numbers.
FIVE STEPS
How it works
Start with EBITDA
We take your reported EBITDA as the baseline, then model its forward trajectory using sector-specific growth assumptions and discount rates. You can see — and challenge — every input.
Quantify your own externality costs
We calculate the financial exposure from your direct operations. Today, the platform covers carbon transition risk (the cost of your emissions under different internalisation pathways) and physical climate risk — the acute hazards modelled in the NGFS framework: cyclones, river floods, heatwaves, and droughts, plus chronic impacts from gradual temperature change. Water risk and land use risk are in active development and will extend the analysis further. The result is your Adjusted EBITDA.
Extend across your value chain
We apply the same analysis to your suppliers, weighted by procurement spend. This reveals which partners carry the highest externality cost — and how much of that risk flows back to your profitability. The result is your Fully Adjusted EBITDA.
Model across scenarios
Each risk category uses the scenario framework most appropriate to its dynamics. Physical climate risk is modelled across three NGFS-aligned pathways: Current Policies, Net Zero 2050, and Delayed Transition. Carbon transition risk uses a separate scenario framework built around different discount rates and internalisation trajectories — linear, convex, and concave pathways — reflecting how quickly emission costs may be priced in. Together, they give you a range of outcomes rather than a single point estimate, so you can plan for the scenario that matches your risk appetite.
Drill down with full transparency
Every number has an audit trail. You can move from the headline Fully Adjusted EBITDA down to the individual cost component, the specific supplier, the assumption behind the calculation, and the data source. This is how you build confidence to act — and to report.
RISK CATEGORIES
Live today
The risk categories currenty quantified in the platform.
Carbon / Transition Risk
The financial cost of your greenhouse gas emissions, modelled as the probability-weighted trajectory towards full social cost of carbon. This captures the regulatory, market, and litigation pathways through which emission costs are being internalised — modelled across linear, convex, and concave internalisation curves with varying discount rates.
Physical Climate Risk
The direct financial exposure from the acute climate hazards modelled in the NGFS framework — cyclones, river floods, heatwaves, and droughts — plus chronic impacts from gradual temperature change. Modelled across three NGFS-aligned pathways and correlated with your revenue footprint by geography and sector asset intensity.
Note on NGFS coverage: The NGFS Climate Impact Explorer does not yet model sea-level rise, coastal flooding, or wildfires. As the NGFS framework expands to incorporate these hazards, Quanturisk's physical risk coverage will expand accordingly.
In development
ROADMAP
The following risk categories are in active development and will be added to the platform as they become available.
Water Risk
Using the same social cost methodology as our carbon transition risk model, we are developing a social cost of water framework — quantifying the gap between what companies pay for water today and the true social cost of that consumption. As water pricing moves towards full-cost recovery, this gap represents a measurable contingent liability.
Land Use Risk
Similarly, we are developing a social cost of land use framework that quantifies the financial exposure from land-use externalities — deforestation, soil degradation, biodiversity loss — using the same discount rate and timing curve structure as our carbon model. This category encompasses biodiversity-related financial risks.
Try it with your own portfolio
Send us a sample — your own company and ten of your key suppliers — and we will run the full analysis.